ValuSignal

The Signal / Policy / October 6, 2026

Private listings and the appraisal record The comps behind the velvet rope.

Compass, Zillow, MLSs, four state legislatures and Congress are fighting over homes marketed before they reach the MLS. Days on market and price history, the record appraisers have to report, are caught in between.

Rules, deals, lawsuits and laws, 2019 to 2027Scroll to lower the rope13 chapters
01 / The ropeWhy appraisers should care

In July, a congressman warned of “velvet ropes” around certain homes. For appraisers, the more pressing issue is what the rope leaves off the record.

On July 22, Rep. Scott Fitzgerald of Wisconsin, chair of the House Judiciary Subcommittee on the Administrative State, Regulatory Reform, and Antitrust, asked Compass CEO Robert Reffkin and MRED CEO Rebecca Jensen for staff briefings. His letters warned of “velvet ropes” around certain properties. Real Estate News ↗ The panel said it was examining whether companies use private networks to insulate themselves from competition at consumers’ expense. No outcome of the briefings has been reported. HousingWire ↗

The phrase captured an argument that has consumed residential real estate for 18 months: whether a home can be marketed to some buyers before others, and who gets to decide. The country’s largest brokerage, its largest portal, a dozen MLSs, six state legislatures, three federal judges and several members of Congress have taken positions. Four legislatures passed bills.

Appraisers have no seat in that fight and are rarely mentioned in it. Yet they sit at the end of every transaction it touches. A home can spend two weeks as a private exclusive and ten days as Coming Soon, then reach the MLS and go under contract in 12 days. On an appraiser’s grid it can look like a quick, clean sale. The weeks of earlier exposure, and any asking price tested before MLS entry, may appear nowhere in the record the appraiser is required to cite.

We trace the rule that kept listings together for five years, the strategy that pulled them apart, the deals, lawsuits and laws that followed, the competing studies of what any of it does to price, and what Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and FHA require of an appraiser who must report listing history and days on market from a named source.

57%

of new Compass listings launched as Coming Soon in one week this summer, per its earnings call. MarketBeat ↗

4

states have passed private-listing bills. Three are law; New York’s awaits delivery to the governor. NY Senate ↗

0

public statements on private listings and appraisal data from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FHFA or appraisal organizations, as of Oct. 5.

02 / The ruleClear Cooperation to MLOS

2019 to 2025

For five years, one rule kept the listings together.

NAR’s Board of Directors passed MLS Policy Statement 8.0, known as Clear Cooperation, on November 11, 2019, and gave MLSs until May 1, 2020 to adopt it. The rule is short: once a broker markets a property to the public, the listing must be submitted to the MLS within one business day. NAR ↗ Office exclusives stayed legal as long as they were not publicly marketed, and Coming Soon statuses that share the listing with all MLS participants comply. NAR policy and FAQ ↗

For appraisers, Clear Cooperation’s effect was practical: if a home was publicly marketed, its list date, list price, price changes and status history accumulated in one place, under one set of rules, where any participant could see them. That is the record the guidelines assume when they ask for days on market and a named data source.

In March 2025 NAR kept the rule but opened a door. Its Multiple Listing Options for Sellers policy created “delayed marketing exempt listings.” With written consent, a seller can tell the agent to postpone IDX display and syndication to portals for a period, while the listing stays visible to other MLS participants. MLSs had until September 30, 2025 to put it in place. NAR ↗ NAR’s FAQ adds that one-to-one, broker-to-broker conversations about a listing do not trigger Clear Cooperation. NAR MLOS FAQ ↗

Eight days earlier, the Justice Department told a court it had not taken a position that Clear Cooperation-type policies alone are anticompetitive, while a footnote flagged concern about exceptions that favor large brokerages. Real Estate News ↗

The record, 2019 to 2027

Key dates from Clear Cooperation to UAD 3.6.

Scroll to move through time. Dates marked “Ahead” had not happened as of Oct. 5, 2026.

  1. 2019Nov. 11Rule

    NAR’s board passes Clear Cooperation: list on the MLS within one business day of public marketing.

    Source ↗
  2. 2020May 1Rule

    Deadline for MLSs to put Clear Cooperation in place.

    Source ↗
  3. 2025Feb.Compass

    55% of new Compass listings start as Private Exclusive or Coming Soon.

    Source ↗
  4. 2025Mar. 25Rule

    NAR keeps Clear Cooperation and adds delayed marketing exempt listings.

    Source ↗
  5. 2025Apr. 10Portal

    Zillow and eXp announce Zillow Listing Access Standards.

    Source ↗
  6. 2025Apr. 25Court

    Compass sues Northwest MLS in federal court in Seattle.

    Source ↗
  7. 2025June 23Court

    Compass sues Zillow in New York.

    Source ↗
  8. 2025June 30Portal

    Zillow starts blocking listings that break its standards.

    Source ↗
  9. 2025Sept. 22Compass

    Compass announces an all-stock deal for Anywhere Real Estate.

    Source ↗
  10. 2025Dec. 9Law

    Wisconsin’s governor approves Act 69, effective in 2027.

    Source ↗
  11. 2026Jan. 9Compass

    Compass closes the Anywhere deal as Compass International Holdings.

    Source ↗
  12. 2026Feb. 6Court

    A judge denies Compass a preliminary injunction against Zillow.

    Source ↗
  13. 2026Feb. 26Compass

    Compass and Rocket sign a three-year alliance; Coming Soon listings appear on Redfin.

    Source ↗
  14. 2026Mar. 16Law

    Washington’s governor signs SSB 6091.

    Source ↗
  15. 2026Mar. 17Portal

    Zillow launches Preview and loosens its standards. Compass drops its suit the next day.

    Source ↗
  16. 2026Apr. 24Compass

    Chicago’s MRED opens nationwide, with Compass first in.

    Source ↗
  17. 2026May 8Compass

    Compass ends all direct listing feeds to Zillow, Zillow says.

    Source ↗
  18. 2026May 12Court

    Zillow sues Compass and MRED in Chicago.

    Source ↗
  19. 2026May 27Law

    Connecticut’s governor approves Public Act 26-23.

    Source ↗
  20. 2026June 1Law

    New York’s Senate passes A10679B, 60 to 0, after the Assembly.

    Source ↗
  21. 2026July 22Scrutiny

    A House antitrust subcommittee asks Compass and MRED for briefings.

    Source ↗
  22. 2026Aug. 6Scrutiny

    Sen. Warren’s letters cite risks to mortgage and appraisal data.

    Source ↗
  23. 2026Aug. 31Court

    Compass and NWMLS settle; a 21-day “First Look” status follows.

    Source ↗
  24. 2026Sept. 15Court

    Zillow loses its bid for an injunction against MRED.

    Source ↗
  25. 2026Oct. 5Court

    A day before Compass’s deadline, California Regional MLS sues Compass first in federal court.

    Source ↗
  26. 2026Nov. 2AheadAppraisal

    UAD 3.6 becomes mandatory for new UCDP submissions.

    Source ↗
  27. 2027Jan. 1AheadLaw

    Wisconsin Act 69 takes effect.

    Source ↗
03 / Three phasesCompass’s strategy and its scale

The front door

Compass markets listings in three phases before they reach the MLS.

Compass describes three phases on its seller page. Phase 1 is a Private Exclusive, shown inside the Compass network. Phase 2 is Coming Soon, public on Compass.com and Redfin.com. Phase 3 is the public websites. Compass pitches Phase 1 as a way to test price without days on market, price drops or a rushed timeline. Compass ↗

The company’s securities filings describe the same sequence: list first as a Compass Private Exclusive, then as Compass Coming Soon, before going active on the MLS. SEC filing, Q4 2024 ↗ By its first-quarter 2025 release it had a formal name: the “3-Phased Price Discovery and Marketing Strategy.” SEC filing, Q1 2025 ↗

The point of the first two phases is price discovery: learning what buyers will pay before the listing becomes part of the shared record. When the home finally reaches the MLS, the discovery has already happened somewhere the MLS does not see.

How much of Compass’s inventory starts privateFour Compass figures · each measures a different group
Feb. 16, 2025More than 7,500 of 22,138

of all Compass listings were Private Exclusive or Coming Soon Source ↗

35%
Feb. 2025New listings only

of new listings that month started as Private Exclusive or Coming Soon Source ↗

55%
Q1 202519,393 homeowners

of homeowners listing outside Washington started with all three phases Source ↗

48.2%
Q2 2026 callTarget: 80% by end of Q3

of new listings in the most recent week launched as Coming Soon Source ↗

57%

Do not read these as a trend line. The populations differ: all listings on one day, new listings in one month, homeowners outside Washington in one quarter, and new listings in one week. On the first-quarter 2026 call, Compass also said Coming Soon adoption had risen from the low 20s to the mid-30s percent. RISMedia ↗ Mike DelPrete ↗

The strategy now runs through a much larger company. Compass announced an all-stock acquisition of Anywhere Real Estate on September 22, 2025, at 1.436 Compass shares per Anywhere share. It put the enterprise value at about $10 billion including assumed debt, with roughly 340,000 agents across brands that include Coldwell Banker, Century 21, Corcoran, Sotheby’s International Realty and Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate. SEC filing ↗ Inman reported the equity value at $1.6 billion, with about $2.6 billion of Anywhere net debt assumed. Inman ↗ The waiting period under federal merger law expired January 2 without a formal Justice Department investigation, and the deal closed January 9, 2026, forming Compass International Holdings, months ahead of its original schedule. SEC filing ↗ Bloomberg Law ↗

On its second-quarter 2026 call, Compass reported revenue of $4.3 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $363 million. It said 57% of new listings in the most recent week launched as Coming Soon, set a target of 80% by the end of the third quarter, and said it expects more than 90% of MLSs to allow these listings by year-end. MarketBeat ↗ On the prior call, Reffkin said he wants to create a national MLS to compete with local ones, and argued that state private-listing laws do not block phased marketing, calling “Private Exclusive” a label because the listings are still marketed. RISMedia ↗

Most still reach the MLS

About 94%

Boston.com reported that 94% of the homes Compass pre-marketed in 2024 ended up on an MLS. Boston.com ↗ NWMLS, in a July 2025 court filing, said 94% of Compass Private Exclusives eventually reached the open market. Inman ↗ In its 2026 counterclaim, NWMLS alleged that homes fail to sell during the private phases about 95% of the time. That is a litigant’s allegation. Inman ↗

Which is the appraisal problem

The history may not travel with the sale.

If most private listings eventually close through the MLS, the sales will show up as comparables. What travels with them depends on how each channel and each MLS treats the time and prices that came before.

Two figures from the fight concern double-ending, where one brokerage represents both sides. A Compass internal slide filed in the Zillow case states that off-market sales double-end 72% more often than on-market sales. Inman ↗ An April 2026 Consumer Policy Center report by Stephen Brobeck, a former Consumer Federation of America executive director, put Compass’s share of unit sales at 30% to 39.5% in Boston, Washington, Chicago, San Diego and Austin, and its Washington, D.C. double-ending rate at 41%, against a historical range of 3% to 12%. Inman ↗

04 / Two clocksOne illustrative listing

Follow one home

One listing, four phases, two clocks.

This home is invented. Its path follows Compass’s three phases as Compass and Redfin describe them, in a market whose MLS counts days on market from MLS entry. Watch the two counters as you scroll.

Phase 1 · Days 1 to 14

Private Exclusive

The home is shown only inside the Compass network. Compass agents and their clients can see it, tour it, and react to an asking price of $625,000. Nothing is on the MLS, so nothing is counting there. Compass ↗

Marketed 14 days · MLS DOM: none

Phase 2 · Days 15 to 24

Coming Soon

The listing goes public on Compass.com and Redfin, now at $610,000. On Redfin, days on market and price-reduction history are not displayed until the seller goes to the open market. Real Estate News ↗

Marketed 24 days · MLS DOM: none · Price cut not shown

Phase 3 · Days 25 to 36

Active on the MLS

The home enters the MLS at $610,000. The MLS clock starts at zero. Twelve days later it goes under contract. In this example the earlier price and the earlier 24 days are recorded only in Compass’s systems.

Marketed 36 days · MLS DOM: 12

Closed

On the appraiser’s grid

The comparable reads: list $610,000, sale $606,000, 12 days on market, no price changes. Every field is accurate. The record is still incomplete, and nothing on it says so.

Record shows: DOM 12 · One list price

Six pre-market routes

Each route treats the clock differently.

What is shown to the public during the pre-market period, and what is kept in the record MLS members see. Entries use only what each source states.

Compass Coming Soon on Redfin

Public display of DOM and price changes, pre-market

Days on market and price reduction history are not displayed until the seller goes to the open market.

Recorded for MLS members?

Only after the listing enters the MLS.

Source ↗

Compass Private Exclusive

Public display of DOM and price changes, pre-market

Shown only inside the Compass network.

Recorded for MLS members?

Only after the listing enters the MLS.

Source ↗

Zillow Preview

Public display of DOM and price changes, pre-market

The listing agent chooses whether to show “Days on Zillow.”

Recorded for MLS members?

Only after the listing enters the MLS.

Source ↗

NWMLS First Look

Public display of DOM and price changes, pre-market

Days in First Look and pre-launch price changes are hidden from public sites, including after the listing goes Active. The status lasts up to 21 days.

Recorded for MLS members?

Yes. Kept in the internal NWMLS database.

Unknown: Whether First Look days count toward cumulative days on market once the listing goes Active: NWMLS did not say.

Source ↗

The MLS (CLAW) MLS Exclusive

Public display of DOM and price changes, pre-market

Members only, and the status can last the life of the listing.

Recorded for MLS members?

Days on market and price history are not recorded until the sale.

Source ↗

NAR delayed marketing exempt listing

Public display of DOM and price changes, pre-market

No IDX display or syndication during the delay.

Recorded for MLS members?

Visible to MLS participants. NAR leaves days-on-market tracking to each MLS.

Source ↗
05 / New pipesCompass’s distribution deals

2026

Compass built new distribution deals through 2026.

Private listings are only useful to a seller if the right buyers see them. Through 2026, Compass signed a run of deals that route its pre-market inventory to a portal, a lender and several MLSs that agreed to carry it.

Who carries Compass’s pre-market inventoryPartners left · disputes right · as of Oct. 6, 2026
  • Rocket / RedfinPortal and lender · Feb. 26, 2026

    Three-year alliance. Coming Soon listings went to Redfin at once, with Private Exclusives to follow. Source ↗

  • MREDChicago MLS, about 48,000 subscribers · Apr. 24, 2026

    Opened its MLS and its Private Listing Network to agents nationwide. Compass feeds its national inventory. Source ↗

  • RealtracsMLS, about 19,000 subscribers, six states · Apr. 30, 2026

    Expanded nationally. Compass feeds all its inventory and subsidizes agents. Source ↗

  • The MLS (CLAW)Southern California MLS · May 6, 2026

    Created a members-only “MLS Exclusive” status. Compass reimburses switching costs. Source ↗

  • Bright MLSMid-Atlantic MLS · Named July 2026

    Listed among Compass’s MLS partnerships in the Consumer Federation of America’s letter. Source ↗

  • ZillowPortal

    Zillow says Compass ended all direct listing feeds to it on May 8, 2026. Litigation continues. Source ↗

  • NWMLSSeattle-area MLS

    Sued in 2025. Settled Aug. 31, 2026, with a new First Look status. Source ↗

  • CRMLSCalifornia Regional MLS

    Refused a Compass demand letter, then sued Compass on Oct. 5, 2026, asking a court to declare its rules lawful. Source ↗

The Rocket deal, announced February 26, put Compass Coming Soon listings on Redfin immediately, with Private Exclusives to follow. Rocket said it could add more than 500,000 listings to Redfin and deliver more than 1 million buyer inquiries, and offered buyers a one-point rate reduction in year one or up to $6,000 in lender credit. Rocket ↗ Compass’s own page cites more than 1.2 million leads. Compass ↗ Redfin is not paying Compass for the listings, according to a person familiar with the deal. OnlineMarketplaces ↗ The deal reversed Redfin’s April 2025 pledge, under then-CEO Glenn Kelman, not to publish listings that had been publicly marketed before reaching the MLS. Inman ↗

MRED, the Chicago MLS with about 48,000 subscribers, went further on April 24. It opened its MLS and its roughly decade-old Private Listing Network to licensed agents nationwide. Compass agreed to feed its national inventory, including Private Exclusives and Coming Soon listings, and to pay MRED membership for its first 100,000 agents. Inman ↗ Jensen said the MLS should not dictate marketing or business-model practices. Real Estate News ↗ Realtracs, with about 19,000 subscribers in six states, followed on April 30, with United Real Estate also joining. Real Estate News ↗

The deal that matters most to the appraisal record came on May 6. The MLS, the Southern California MLS known as CLAW, created an “MLS Exclusive” status that is members-only, can last the life of the listing, and does not record days on market or price history until the sale. Compass reimburses switching costs for its first 100,000 agents and 10,000 others. Real Estate News ↗

On March 19, Compass and Rocket published an open letter urging agents to report MLS penalties for seller-directed marketing. It named seven MLSs as resisting: Arizona Regional, California Regional, First MLS, Georgia MLS, Northwest MLS, OneKey MLS and Stellar MLS, and called them a clear minority. Real Estate News ↗ Inman’s coverage lists Redfin as a signer too. Inman ↗

06 / The portalsZillow’s standards and Preview

The other side

Zillow’s listing access standards, and how they changed.

Zillow and eXp announced the Zillow Listing Access Standards on April 10, 2025. Zillow ↗ Zillow began sending notices on May 28 and blocking non-compliant listings on June 30. An agent’s first two non-compliant listings drew notices; from the third, listings were blocked for the life of the listing agreement. Real Estate News ↗ Outlets described the trigger differently: HousingWire wrote within one business day of public marketing, Inman within 24 hours. HousingWire ↗ Inman ↗

On March 17, 2026, Zillow revised the standard. Publicly marketed listings must now be broadly accessible. Zillow dropped the ban on listings marketed on other public sites before Zillow, while private listing networks and gated inventory remain excluded. Zillow ↗ RISMedia ↗

Zillow Preview · launched Mar. 17, 2026

Zillow’s own pre-market listing product.

Zillow launched Preview the same day with Keller Williams, RE/MAX, HomeServices of America, Side and United Real Estate. Zillow ↗ Agents choose whether to display “Days on Zillow” during the Preview period. Zillow Pro ↗ Trade reporting says listing agents can earn a bonus of 10% of the buyer agent’s commission, paid by Zillow, when a Preview listing closes through its Preferred agent network; Zillow’s releases describe a revenue share without a percentage. The Real Deal ↗ Real Estate News ↗

+18%views
+9%shares
+7%saves
400+partners

Zillow-reported results for Preview listings in their first 14 days, released when Preview went live on Realtor.com on Sept. 17, 2026. Zillow ↗ A RealScout integration, announced Sept. 15, reaches more than 100,000 professionals. Real Estate News ↗

By September, pre-market listing statuses had become common enough that NWMLS was the lone large holdout, until its settlement. Utah’s Wasatch Front MLS added its first coming-soon status in May 2026. Inman ↗ The open questions moved from whether pre-market listings exist to who controls them, who can see them, and how each status treats time and price. The last of those is the appraiser’s question.

07 / The courtsStatus as of Oct. 6, 2026

The scoreboard

Four cases, no final verdict.

Compass v. Zillow

Dropped by Compass

S.D.N.Y. · Judge Jeannette Vargas

  1. Compass alleges monopolization and a conspiracy with Redfin and eXp. Redfin is not a named defendant. Source ↗

  2. Preliminary injunction denied. The court finds Compass has not shown a likelihood of success. Source ↗

  3. Compass dismisses without prejudice, the day after Zillow launches Preview. Source ↗

Compass v. NWMLS

Settled

W.D. Wash. · Judge Jamal Whitehead

  1. Filed after NWMLS suspended Compass’s IDX feed for a day. Six claims, including Sherman Act counts. Source ↗

  2. Motion to dismiss denied. All six claims survive. Source ↗

  3. NWMLS counterclaims that three-phased marketing is a deceptive scheme under state law. Source ↗

  4. Settlement. NWMLS launches a First Look status on Sept. 4. Source ↗

Zillow v. Compass and MRED

Arbitration and stay

N.D. Ill. · Judge John Tharp Jr.

  1. Zillow alleges MRED demanded it show Compass private listings nationwide or lose Chicagoland listings. Source ↗

  2. Temporary restraining order restores the feeds MRED suspended on May 20. Source ↗

  3. Injunction denied. Claims against MRED go to arbitration; claims against Compass are stayed. Source ↗

CRMLS v. Compass

Just filed

S.D.N.Y. · No. 1:26-cv-08796

  1. Compass sends a demand letter. CRMLS refuses and plans counterclaims and a legal defense fund. Source ↗

  2. Reffkin says lawsuits will start in mid-October, with no settlements. Source ↗

  3. CRMLS files first. It asks the court to declare its cooperation rules lawful and to bar Compass from pursuing antitrust claims against them. Source ↗

The rulings have not settled the merits, but they have settled some facts about market power. In the Zillow case in New York, the court assumed for argument that Zillow held 50% to 66% of the relevant market and still found monopoly power not shown. That range was an assumption, not a finding; Reuters described it as Compass’s likely overstated claim. Reuters ↗ The court found the evidence of a Zillow-Redfin conspiracy ambiguous and contradicted by credible testimony. RISMedia ↗ In Chicago, Judge Tharp found Zillow had not made a sufficiently strong showing that MRED holds monopoly power in a relevant market. Real Estate News ↗ A Bloomberg wire story described MRED as holding a monopoly on Chicago-area listings; the court’s finding is the one that counts. Insurance Journal ↗

The Chicago case produced the most vivid moment. After Compass cut its direct feeds to Zillow on May 8, according to Zillow, cutting direct access to more than 25% of current Chicagoland listings, MRED suspended Zillow’s feeds on May 20. Reports of the size differed: HousingWire said about 43,000 active listings, RISMedia more than 30,000. HousingWire ↗ RISMedia ↗ A temporary order restored the feeds two days later, required Zillow to carry nine listings it had removed, and barred it from banning listings in ZIP codes where MRED had listings between April 2025 and April 2026. HousingWire ↗ When the injunction was denied in September, nearly 100 Compass agents outside Chicago joined MRED within 24 hours, and dozens of previously banned listings returned to Zillow. Real Estate News ↗ Zillow said the ruling is not the final word. Real Estate News ↗

The NWMLS settlement is the only one with terms that touch the data. Its First Look status lasts up to 21 days and allows showings and open houses; the seller decides whether the listing goes on IDX. Days in First Look and pre-launch price changes are kept off public sites but stay in the internal NWMLS database. NWMLS ↗ HousingWire ↗ NWMLS says First Look prevents off-MLS “shadow” markets, and RISMedia reports its rules still bar closed pocket networks, including Compass Private Exclusives. RISMedia ↗

08 / The statesSix bills, four passed

Statehouses

Four legislatures wrote their own rules.

Three models emerged. Washington bans exclusive marketing outright. Wisconsin, Connecticut and New York require public marketing but let a seller opt out on a state form that warns of the cost.

WA

Washington

SSB 6091 · Ch. 57, Laws of 2026

In effect June 11, 2026

No marketing to a limited or exclusive group unless it is marketed to the public and all brokers at the same time. Narrow health and safety exception.

Seller opt-out
No
Penalty
Unprofessional conduct under RCW 18.85.361
WI

Wisconsin

2025 Wisconsin Act 69 (AB 456)

Effective Jan. 1, 2027

Market 1 to 4 unit homes on platforms open to the public and licensees within one business day of the agency agreement.

Seller opt-out
Yes, state form
Penalty
Not specified in the sources we reviewed
CT

Connecticut

Public Act 26-23 (SB 340)

In effect Oct. 1, 2026

List on a fair, publicly accessible platform at or before the first public marketing. Password-protected or internal platforms do not count.

Seller opt-out
Yes, state form
Penalty
Fines up to $5,000 per violation, suspension or revocation
NY

New York

A10679B / S10274

Passed both chambers; not delivered to the governor

Listings on private or limited-access channels must be publicly marketed at the same time unless the seller signs the state opt-out disclosure.

Seller opt-out
Yes, state form
Penalty
Fine cap raised from $2,000 to $5,000
IL

Illinois

HB 4964

Died in House Rules

Would have required public internet marketing within one day, with an opt-out form.

Seller opt-out
Proposed
Penalty
n/a
HI

Hawaii

SB 2806 / HB 2559

Both died in the 2026 session

SB 2806 followed Washington’s prohibition. HB 2559 used a disclosure model.

Seller opt-out
SB 2806: no
Penalty
n/a

Washington moved fastest. SSB 6091, sponsored by Sen. Marko Liias, passed the Senate 49 to 0 and the House 92 to 1, was signed March 16 and took effect June 11. Washington Legislature ↗ It applies the prohibition with only a narrow exception for the health or safety of the owner or occupant, and routes violations to the state’s unprofessional-conduct statute. Session law ↗ Supporters at the hearing included Washington Realtors, Windermere, Habitat for Humanity, Zillow and the Fair Housing Center of Washington; Compass opposed. The supporters’ summary in the Senate bill report said private listings can negatively impact appraisals, one of only two places we found a government document raise appraisal at all. Senate Bill Report ↗

Wisconsin’s Act 69 covers 1 to 4 unit homes and takes effect January 1, 2027. A seller who opts out must sign a department form acknowledging reduced awareness, no public-platform display, and possibly fewer offers or a lower price. Its registered supporters included the Wisconsin Realtors Association and Zillow Group. Wisconsin DSPS ↗ Wisconsin Ethics Commission ↗ Connecticut’s law, in effect since October 1, defines public marketing broadly, from websites and social media to signs and emails to multiple recipients. Its opt-out form warns that reduced exposure may result in a lower sale price. OLR summary ↗ Public Act ↗

New York’s Fair and Transparent Real Estate Listings Act passed the Assembly on May 29 and the Senate 60 to 0 on June 1. As of October 5, the official trackers show no delivery to Gov. Kathy Hochul, no signature and no veto. NY Senate ↗ RISMedia ↗ The final bill was softened from an earlier one-day draft. It includes a good-faith defense and would take effect 180 days after becoming law. The Real Deal ↗ Bill text ↗

09 / ScrutinyFederal and state

Washington, D.C.

Federal and state scrutiny, with no public results yet.

The merger drew attention before it closed. Bloomberg Law reported that Antitrust Division leadership wanted a deeper review, Compass escalated, and Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche’s office allowed the deal to proceed without a formal investigation. The Justice Department said it complied with its obligations. Bloomberg Law ↗ Real Estate News ↗

Since then, letters have come from both parties, the New York attorney general has asked questions, and a consumer group has petitioned regulators. None has produced a public result.

  1. Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Ron Wyden ask the DOJ and FTC to scrutinize the merger, citing pocket listings. Sen. Warren ↗

  2. Eighteen members of Congress, six senators and 12 House members, ask Attorney General Pam Bondi how the deal was cleared. Sen. Bernie Sanders, an independent, is among them. Sen. Warren ↗ Inman ↗

  3. The FTC and DOJ open a public inquiry on competitor-collaboration guidance, including shared data systems. NAR files comments defending MLS cooperation. The Close ↗

  4. The Real Deal reports that the New York attorney general’s antitrust bureau contacted city brokerage leaders about Compass. Compass shares fell about 12% that day, per RISMedia; Inman reported more than 10% at midday. The Real Deal ↗ RISMedia ↗ Inman ↗

  5. The Consumer Federation of America asks the FTC and DOJ to investigate Compass’s MLS partnerships. RISMedia ↗

  6. Rep. Fitzgerald’s subcommittee asks Compass and MRED for briefings and warns of “velvet ropes.” Real Estate News ↗

  7. Sen. Warren, ranking member of Senate Banking, sends Compass five questions and MRED six, citing a two-tiered housing market, fair-housing steering, and risks to the accuracy of mortgage and appraisal data. Senate Banking ↗ Letter ↗

10 / The studiesWhat private listings do to price

Read the funder first

Every price study has a stake in the answer.

Both sides have published numbers on whether marketing a home privately raises or lowers its price. They disagree, and they are not measuring the same thing. Before using any figure below, read who paid for it and which homes it compares.

Reported price difference for the private, pre-marketed or off-MLS groupPercent · right of zero means it sold for more
  • Compass phased-marketing studyCompass · Brokerage that sells the strategy
    +4.6%

    Measures: Pre-market phase that ends on the MLS. Expired and withdrawn listings excluded. Sample: 70,809 closings, Apr. 2025 to Mar. 2026 Source ↗

  • Compass 2024 sales claimCompass · Brokerage that sells the strategy
    +2.9%

    Measures: Average close price, pre-marketed vs. not. Sample: 2024 sales Source ↗

  • Hayunga, University of GeorgiaNot commissioned · Academic preprint
    +1.7%

    Measures: True pocket sales vs. MLS sales in one market. About 1% of sales were pocket sales. Sample: About 700,000 Dallas-Fort Worth sales, 2002 to 2022 Also: Before Clear Cooperation +3.3%; After +0.9%, not significant; Luxury +8.2%. Source ↗

  • Zillow off-MLS researchZillow · Portal that bars private listings
    −1.3%

    Measures: Off-MLS sales, 1.9% of the sample, vs. MLS sales. Sample: 6.2 million sales, 2023 to 2025 Source ↗

  • Lawrence Wu, Zillow’s expertZillow · Litigant’s retained economist
    −4.8%

    Measures: Likely Compass private-listing sales, defined more narrowly than Compass does. Not comparable to Compass’s studies. Sample: Jan. 2022 to Dec. 2025, national Also: Chicagoland −4%. Source ↗

  • Bright MLS On-MLS StudyBright MLS · MLS that runs the shared system
    17.5%reported gap

    Measures: All off-MLS sales, including FSBO, vs. on-MLS. Reported as on-MLS homes selling for 17.5% more. Sample: 1,003,263 sales, Jan. 2019 to Mar. 2023 Source ↗

Bright MLS reported that on-MLS homes sold for 17.5% more, about $53,890 for a typical 2022 seller; we plot it on the off-MLS side. Hollow dots show subgroup results. The Compass study’s bar is its 95% confidence interval, 4.2% to 4.9%. These studies use different definitions and samples and should not be averaged or compared directly.

Compass’s July 2026 study of 70,809 closings found a 4.6% price premium for its phased marketing, 34% faster time to contract and 29% fewer price cuts, about $19,780 on a $430,000 median. It covers listings whose pre-market phase ended on the MLS and excludes expired and withdrawn listings, so homes that failed to sell are not in it. Real Estate News ↗ A separate Compass analysis compared 806 listings Zillow had banned with 296,966 that were not, and found median sale-to-list ratios of 100% versus 98.7%; Beacon Economics said the comparison did not seem statistically reasonable. HousingWire ↗

The one study without a commercial sponsor is narrow. Hayunga, at the University of Georgia, examined about 700,000 Dallas-Fort Worth sales from 2002 to 2022, of which about 1% were true pocket sales. He found a 1.7% premium overall, 3.3% before Clear Cooperation, 0.9% after it, which was not statistically significant, and 8.2% in luxury homes. Real Estate News ↗ Reffkin has promoted it repeatedly on social media. RISMedia ↗

On the other side, Zillow’s May 2026 research on 6.2 million sales found off-MLS sales were 1.9% of the sample and sold for 1.3% less, about $4,230 each, and that dual agency cost sellers $1.49 billion over three years. Zillow ↗ Zillow’s retained economist in the Chicago case associated likely Compass private-listing sales with prices 4% lower in Chicagoland and 4.8% lower nationally, using a narrower definition than Compass uses. The Close ↗ Bright MLS’s 2023 study of more than a million sales found on-MLS homes sold for 17.5% more, but it compared all off-MLS sales, including for-sale-by-owner, against MLS sales. Bright MLS ↗ The best-known critiques of Bright’s methods were aimed at its 2022 study, not this one. Inman ↗

A Bright MLS report from April 2025 adds a different kind of evidence. Private listings were nearly 8% of properties in February 2025, up from about 2% three to four years earlier. Only 13% of homes that started as private listings opened and closed as office exclusives, and listings that started that way took a median 37 days to contract, against 20 for standard listings. Real Estate News ↗

11 / The recordWhat the guidelines require

The appraiser’s side

What Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and FHA require appraisers to report.

None of the rules below mention private listings. All of them assume a record of listing dates, prices and time on market that the appraiser can find, cite and verify. Here is what they require, in their own terms.

Fannie Mae · B4-1.3-02

Subject listing history

Report whether the subject is for sale or was offered in the 12 months before the effective date, with offering prices, dates and data sources. A data source is required even if the answer is no. For UAD reports, days on market must be reported. Source ↗

Fannie Mae · B4-1.3-07

Sales history and verification

Report the subject’s three-year and each comparable’s 12-month sales history, name the specific data source rather than “public records,” and verify with a party that has no financial interest in the transaction. Source ↗

Fannie Mae · B4-1.3-09

Time adjustments

For appraisals dated on or after March 1, 2025, make market-supported time adjustments from the comparable’s contract date to the effective date. Source ↗

UAD specification · Appendix A

Days on market

DOM is defined as the total number of continuous days from the listing date. Source ↗

FHA · ML 2025-18

Listings and verification

MLS records and site visits alone are not acceptable verification. For listings and pendings used, report original and revised list prices and calculate total DOM. Source ↗

Freddie Mac · 5605.6(c)

Market conditions

Freddie Mac’s July 2026 market conditions resources cite this section and require at least 12 months of market data analysis. Source ↗

Fannie Mae also says comparables should generally have closed within the last 12 months, and that the appraiser must analyze closed sales, contract sales and listings. Fannie Mae B4-1.3-08 ↗ B4-1.3-07 ↗ One widely shared column on private listings said UAD requires days on market to be “considered.” The Selling Guide’s wording is that DOM must be reported. HousingWire column ↗ Fannie Mae ↗

FHA’s Mortgagee Letter 2025-18 dropped the requirement for at least two active listings or pending sales on the grid, but kept the rule that MLS records alone are not acceptable verification. HUD ↗ FHA’s report guide requires the subject’s listing history for the prior 12 months, including dates, prices and terms of current and prior listings, with DOM in UAD format. FHA guide ↗

The redesigned URAR’s sales comparison rowsIllustrative comparable from chapter 4
Grid rowWhat the record showsWhat it may not show
Listing statusClosedStatus history before MLS entry
List price$610,000An earlier private asking price of $625,000
Sale price$606,000No gap
Contract dateDay 36No gap
Days on market1224 days of private and Coming Soon exposure
Data sourceMLS #, namedA second source for pre-market facts

Fannie Mae’s sample redesigned URAR includes Listing Status, List Price, Sale Price, Contract Date, Closing Date, Days on Market and Data Source rows, plus a three-year transfer history. URAR sample ↗ The September 2026 UAD 3.6 Policy Supplement renumbers the subject listing topic as SB4-1.3-02. Policy Supplement ↗ Values in the middle column are invented.

UAD 3.6 timeline

  1. Broad production begins↗
  2. Mandatory for new UCDP submissions↗
  3. Policy exception: UAD 2.6 still accepted↗
  4. UAD 2.6 fatal for new submissions↗
  5. UAD 2.6 retired↗

We searched Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FHFA, the Appraisal Institute, ASA, NAA, The Appraisal Foundation and major AVM vendors for any public statement on private or pre-market listings and appraisal data. As of October 5, we found none. Fannie Mae’s March 2026 Appraiser Update and the Appraisal Institute’s July 21 newsletter are silent on the topic. The only government voices on appraisal so far are Sen. Warren’s August 6 letter and the supporters’ testimony summarized in Washington’s Senate bill report. Senate Banking ↗ WA Senate Bill Report ↗

Industry voices have filled some of the silence, as opinion. Anthony V. Mannino argued in HousingWire that pre-market suppression produces “laundered” sale records that flow into comps and AVMs. HousingWire ↗ Bruce Ailion of RE/MAX Town & Country argued that thinner comp data raises repurchase and model risk for lenders. HousingWire ↗ eXp CEO Leo Pareja, whose company announced Zillow’s standards jointly with it, wrote that appraisers already spend hours calling agents one by one, and called on Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and FHFA to take notice. Inman ↗

The problem is sharper in nondisclosure states, where sale prices are not public record. A Bernalillo County Assessor handout lists them as Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, Missouri (some counties), Mississippi, Wyoming, Utah, Texas, North Dakota, New Mexico and Montana. NM Legislature ↗ On off-market sales, the chief appraiser of the Travis Central Appraisal District in Austin said: “All we can do is work with the data we have.” MortgagePoint ↗

12 / At your deskThe Signal’s analysis

Our view

What appraisers can do now.

These are our suggestions, not guidance from any agency or standards body. They follow from the rules above and the way each pre-market channel handles the clock.

  1. 01

    Ask about every phase, and write down who told you.

    For the subject and each comparable, ask whether the home was marketed as a private exclusive, Coming Soon, Preview or an MLS pre-market status before going active, for how long, and at what prices. Fannie Mae already requires named data sources and verification with a party that has no financial interest in the transaction. A listing agent has one, so treat the answer as information to corroborate; it does not substitute for verification.

  2. 02

    Learn your MLS’s statuses and how each one counts the clock.

    NAR left days-on-market tracking for delayed listings to each MLS. NWMLS and The MLS (CLAW), for example, now handle pre-market time very differently. Read your MLS’s rules for each status, and note in the workfile what your DOM figure does and does not include.

  3. 03

    Read DOM as a reported number with a source.

    UAD defines DOM as continuous days from the listing date. If the listing date is the MLS entry date, a home with weeks of earlier marketing will show a short DOM. When you know about earlier exposure, report the figure the guidelines require and comment on the rest.

  4. 04

    Watch the market-wide statistics as well as the comps.

    If a growing share of listings in a market spends time in pre-market statuses, median DOM and list-to-sale ratios built from MLS data may shift for reasons that are not market conditions. Time adjustments run from contract dates, which pre-market phases do not hide; exposure-time and absorption commentary still deserves a second look.

  5. 05

    Check the portals and the public record.

    A Preview listing may show Days on Zillow if the agent chose to display it. Brokerage sites and portal history can corroborate earlier asking prices. In nondisclosure states, a sale that never reaches the MLS may leave no price an appraiser can find at all.

Sample workfile note · edit before use
Listing history: [Subject / Comparable #] was marketed as [Private Exclusive / Coming Soon / Preview / MLS pre-market status] from [date] to [date], per [named source, date contacted]. The reported MLS days on market of [n] count from MLS entry on [date]. Total marketing time known to the appraiser: [n] days. Asking price(s) before MLS entry: [price, source / not available]. This information was [corroborated by / not corroborated by] [second source].

A starting point for recording what you learned. It is not required language and does not replace your own analysis or your client’s instructions.

13 / What to watchAfter Oct. 6, 2026

Next

The dates that could change what the record looks like.

  • Compass’s answer

    How Compass responds to the CRMLS suit, and whether the MLS lawsuits Reffkin promised for mid-October follow. Source ↗

  • NWMLS display changes

    Photo watermarks end; broker name and contact must sit next to any contact button. Source ↗

  • UAD 3.6 mandate

    The redesigned URAR becomes mandatory for new UCDP submissions. Source ↗

  • NWMLS data fields

    New fields for broker platforms, from legal description to resale certificates. Source ↗

  • New York

    Whether A10679B is delivered to Gov. Hochul, and whether she signs it. It takes effect 180 days after it becomes law. Source ↗

  • Washington, D.C.

    Any public result from the House Judiciary briefings, Sen. Warren’s questions or the New York attorney general’s inquiry. Source ↗

  • Zillow v. MRED

    Arbitration of Zillow’s claims against MRED, and the stayed claims against Compass. Source ↗

  • Wisconsin

    Act 69 takes effect. Source ↗

  • The GSEs

    Any Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or FHFA guidance on pre-market exposure time. None so far. Source ↗

For appraisers

A short days-on-market figure reflects one database’s rules. It does not capture how long a home was actually marketed. Until the GSEs or the MLSs address that gap, appraisers have to ask where the listing was before it appeared, write down who answered, and note it in the report when it matters.

Sources checked October 5, 2026; the CRMLS filing was added October 6. Litigation filings, counterclaims and op-eds are cited as allegations or opinion. Price studies come from parties with different interests and definitions. The listing in chapters 4 and 11 is illustrative.

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